tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38249675861681106912012-01-27T02:45:08.902-08:00Home of Supply & Demand, True Patterns, and MD's husbandUI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comBlogger3891100tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-27974704722544128542012-01-27T02:00:00.000-08:002012-01-27T02:45:09.012-08:00

- Yesterday's top at SPX 1333 was SD ST top with exactly same ratio as previously invalidated one (SPX 1303). The most probable scenario is they run the ST bear run, so that MM can rejoin the NK party later. - Don't be naive and greedy about market decline. NK is your context in this environment. You know the level I cared most has been ES 1311. Until it's broken in convincing manner, you still

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-49655240042341045022012-01-25T20:11:00.000-08:002012-01-25T20:14:03.835-08:00

Hakuna Matata, we have got to smile sometimes... (except NK and trolls)

sNAMunoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-6341730741461074102012-01-24T09:27:00.000-08:002012-01-24T09:27:10.773-08:00

Man, I hope ST bears won't have to do this because of NK...

sNAMunoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-85330048669749306142012-01-20T00:12:00.000-08:002012-01-20T00:12:22.838-08:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-85159417415782017242012-01-17T16:28:00.000-08:002012-01-17T16:46:47.537-08:00

Today was MM's second unloading (I went long last Friday when they did their first unloading), effectively and a bit surprisingly issued the first ST sell signal in 2012. Hence my comment today "Today's top is more bearish than you think". I was busy this morning taking Shasha out for a walk and all, I took VST short from 1298 rather than closing remaining 50% long. (BTW, I covered @ 1287).

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-54800063780779333172012-01-16T17:14:00.000-08:002012-01-16T17:22:59.502-08:00

As stated at October bottom last year, SPX128x was IT top target. We are here at SPX128x and you know I even sold my IT position at this level before, and why UI went long again? I have been watching this IT run with great interest recognizing some NK patterns. NK patterns are not my specialty, but I have several evidence this will effect entire 2012 as I shared last December. My 2012 prediction

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-86728304026190766782012-01-13T14:41:00.000-08:002012-01-13T14:41:35.154-08:00

I regret having shared this only with a few people, but I was out of office most of the day seeing my doctor and all. It, however, shouldn't be top secret that I was waiting for the 2nd trade either direction, and around 1277 was the level for long trade. Anyway, I am long from 1275 and this is pretty much mom & pop play, but coincided at around important 1277 level. Playing with NK style, I

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-92126954134862739652012-01-11T14:05:00.000-08:002012-01-11T14:05:17.013-08:00

Even with different participants, the market is still market. As I hinted last year, 2012 will be bullish bias within LT bear context. With my first official trade was another proof it will be unfold that way. They are setting up the base here (translation: creating buffer for the rest of 2012). The LT destination will be same at the end, but we traders cannot wait that long. I was planning to

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-25541957527511360292012-01-06T13:34:00.001-08:002012-01-07T18:53:27.976-08:00

Yikes! .. is what I said early morning. I really didn't want to see the NFP pre-morning spikewith this setup, because it can create additional "conflicting" pattern within the existing pattern I've mentioned before. What is the existing pattern? The pattern should take out 10/27 high, which is SPX 1292. As I mentioned before Ms Market would "manage to" get there one way or another. Now that was

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-24680202485377908282011-12-30T13:24:00.001-08:002011-12-30T13:42:31.795-08:00

I was truly fascinated by Mandelbrot setwhen my old man was teaching me the law of nature zn+1 = zn2 + c Thanks for staying with UIDezine in 2011

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-70602426968776556922011-12-27T01:41:00.000-08:002011-12-27T01:41:54.206-08:00

...to your tricky questions. :) Yes, I sold them all @ 1260 (from 1199). Shasha wish you happy 2012 from snow land!

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-53230284952632980782011-12-21T15:59:00.000-08:002011-12-21T15:59:25.640-08:00

Something to think about at this time of the year "There is a light at the end of every tunnel...just pray it's not a train!" It's a joke to us.but it's not to many. ...from far away from home

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-13181570204712656272011-12-16T16:06:00.000-08:002011-12-16T16:06:56.383-08:00

Sorry for crappy tape. :) It is not unexpected, but definitely not exciting tape.  However, what was important is the fact TF hasn't made lower low today - so still less probable that 1199 retest would happen. (yes, the actual low was 1198, but I am referring to SD level 1199-1200). As I said, patterns say it can do more like yesterday or today a few more days, but I doubt Santa has that much

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-45775196435517329032011-12-15T15:10:00.000-08:002011-12-15T15:18:05.296-08:00

Phase 4 - Are you there, Santa? My last short was covered @ 1203, and my current position is long from 1199.I will be on vacation for the rest of the year, but will be available tomorrow. I wish the best to you and your family.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-89571049947159075022011-12-12T23:14:00.000-08:002011-12-12T23:15:58.957-08:00

Let's review what we expected before. What causes muddy time and how did we trade it? Phase 1: IT top around SPX 128x Done. Closed IT long position with decent profit. What's next? IT top reached way faster than scheduled - muddy time on Phase 2: Trading with muddy time As I warned, picking the exact top with muddy moves is extremely difficult. Make your bet and be patient. - Done. I was

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-53038567657940573252011-12-06T16:11:00.000-08:002011-12-06T16:11:31.183-08:00

As I hinted a few days ago, the muddy & buddy action continues while slowly climbing up. Typically this ends with sudden selloff at the end this kind of extended correction. It's one of the hard irregular patterns to trade, and you got my warning. Many traders can lose money by watching the market every minute and getting in and out. So make your bet and be patient or stay clear until she gets

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-29599351174689764202011-12-05T13:06:00.000-08:002011-12-05T13:06:05.161-08:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-54285369899595662972011-12-01T13:50:00.000-08:002011-12-01T13:52:40.520-08:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-20396546497622284452011-11-30T15:15:00.000-08:002011-11-30T15:16:05.836-08:00

I only made one trade while I was away, and closed the position at the close today.I may share my thought on LT/IT this weekend and ST by tonight maybe.I have a lot to catch up, so excuse me even if I getting lazy for a while.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-47724251797203794812011-11-29T13:01:00.001-08:002011-11-29T13:01:37.964-08:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-55024791985709630922011-11-23T07:43:00.000-08:002011-11-23T07:43:49.341-08:00

Just wishing everybody a Happy Thanksgiving! I hope that you all will spend it with your families and loved ones, I know I will. I dedicate what's seen below to 3, which will be unveiled at the end of the post.One more thing I wish to say, though. Even though this year now certainly hasn't been a great trading year on my end (I'm not back to breakeven on the year yet, but have been getting much

sNAMunoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-83006418067235114652011-11-16T11:09:00.000-08:002011-11-16T11:17:58.853-08:00

Hey everybody,Sorry I have been away a bit this week from it all, mainly stuck in classes, though a comment cleaner is definitely necessary. And what would also be necessary would be to wish UI a very healthy recovery. So anyway, to your health, UI!Random note: My girlfriend, best friend and I actually found a couple "better" pics in one sense though we thought a girl hugging a teddy bear could

sNAMunoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-7033330560586133642011-11-09T22:17:00.000-08:002011-11-09T23:26:51.790-08:00

Who need new post when Pata's #2 says it all. It even has what-if scenario. Complete. I am having some surgery next week and on vacation for the rest of month. (No it's not plastic surgery, so don't ask for the girl's picture)

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-16480021675773420332011-11-08T21:57:00.000-08:002011-11-09T00:34:30.874-08:00

The target SPX 128x checkedSD is still riding with IT Time+Time+Time

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-73128315734741677152011-11-07T10:20:00.000-08:002011-11-07T10:20:48.997-08:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-56879528674471348952011-11-03T13:22:00.000-07:002011-11-07T10:21:31.477-08:00

The bottom line: SD still says...

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-7022875068827489242011-11-03T09:01:00.000-07:002011-11-03T09:01:16.646-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-23616615011906284802011-11-02T16:02:00.001-07:002011-11-02T16:03:12.628-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-52916818625710362782011-11-02T02:08:00.000-07:002011-11-02T16:06:52.013-07:00

Yesterday I covered and said we would gap up today. However, we have one element is missing. So will be the outcome. The pic says it all.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-63365896761847936252011-11-01T13:22:00.001-07:002011-11-01T13:22:55.193-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-55225007213899384272011-11-01T09:48:00.000-07:002011-11-01T12:25:41.508-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-84947993979897853132011-10-31T17:15:00.000-07:002011-10-31T17:26:13.143-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-91136048190444721032011-10-31T11:23:00.000-07:002011-10-31T11:49:22.358-07:00

Having been busy, but I heard MLMT's complaint on lack of new pic.This is this week's market view and prediction. :)

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-65716934861717099922011-10-31T09:44:00.000-07:002011-10-31T09:57:58.666-07:00

Japanese want to fight back.We bought 10/26 bottom per GAK's roadmap.We shorted 10/27 top too, with Pata's.What's next? Send us your roadmap. --- Trolls ain't get no bread. Period. ---

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-8415789349871592622011-10-28T11:03:00.000-07:002011-10-28T11:03:38.228-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-68639080507236862011-10-27T15:39:00.001-07:002011-10-27T23:29:51.792-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-75754058402695014802011-10-27T10:52:00.000-07:002011-10-27T10:52:13.143-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-40181595935838804582011-10-26T16:33:00.000-07:002011-10-26T16:35:43.260-07:00

Trading the right way

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-31065953308528923472011-10-25T14:14:00.000-07:002011-10-27T15:48:57.135-07:00

Since it's one week old...On 10/18, I informed my people about the bottom.Roaches get no bread, Go ahead and make your life cheaper and cheaper.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-67312737133204303312011-10-23T14:03:00.000-07:002011-10-24T00:37:36.094-07:00

You've heard me before - real traders trade based on the signals, not predictions. However, knowing the most probable roadmap will help - as it helped us to see the recent crash. (If you have been a member, you already know since I mentioned since 10/4 - just want to share with public with some delay) On 10/4, I said I am much more bullish than you may guess and declared IT bottom, not ST

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-37734564867675312752011-10-21T13:29:00.000-07:002011-10-22T02:54:00.194-07:00

She rhythms. But she told us she's got some more trick before Halloween. Have a nice weekend, everyone (except trolls :)

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-29937382880893864342011-10-21T08:38:00.001-07:002011-10-21T10:37:57.367-07:00

Do not judge a book by its cover How many deers?

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-26453332497756852152011-10-19T13:38:00.000-07:002011-10-19T14:18:44.816-07:00

That's life.If it's too easy to you, it should be to other suckers.Only selected few will get it at the end.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-52655065574700713852011-10-18T14:07:00.000-07:002011-10-18T14:09:13.495-07:00

This blog has to be more fashionable.This is Dezine blog, after all.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-21326537206709937072011-10-17T12:06:00.000-07:002011-10-20T16:00:04.345-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-44146533475257878422011-10-16T14:20:00.000-07:002011-10-16T14:22:32.947-07:00

Some of you might have noticed that over night action has been very unique since 10/11. We have seen them before - awkward, yet very strong bidding at the weird timing. That's no the pattern of human being(who trade with their own money), nor program trading. But we've seen it before. In terms of SD, we were in the middle of IT bull and was ready for ST correction as of 10/11 - being rejected

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-69742156411300912612011-10-13T22:29:00.000-07:002011-10-14T17:10:31.166-07:00

My favorite Thai food. (Spicy plz) The market last several days looks like drunken noodle. Some move that is not supposed to happen does happen and disappear with its sorry tail. Considering current MM's position, it is not that surprising, but the message to traders remains the same. This formation gives me interesting clue which alters my view dramatically. I always believe anything related

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-12545209473656888012011-10-13T13:54:00.000-07:002011-10-13T13:54:27.509-07:00

I cannot reply all the emails, but here is my brief answer. I am quitting on losers, but not my goal. That means I will still maintain this blog and share my random market comments once in a while. Per your request, I will also mention SD status once in a while, but it will be significant delay such as one week or so. You still can share your market thought here, since many other reader will

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-19988956752410237852011-10-12T16:33:00.000-07:002011-10-12T18:20:19.104-07:00

Is it 8/31 or what? But I just cannot say this tree is bearish. As courtage, this is my last SD sharing. (The "free" internet environment confirmed againthat it's just not worth sharing.Those losers never change,no more wasting my time with those hopeless) LT: Sell (since 4/30)IT: Buy (since 10/4)ST: Sell* (since 10/11) My expectation today was gap down and sideways and selloff tomorrow, but

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-8263728561864809322011-10-12T02:04:00.000-07:002011-10-12T02:18:24.388-07:00

We are supposed to open with gap down, but ES is currently hitting 1198. Somebody wants to play dangerous game. Interesting indeed.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-14039196961111366522011-10-11T13:34:00.000-07:002011-10-11T16:34:50.611-07:00

Just to complete the story, the core long position closed today (+123.50).We need some drama (tree time), before we are going to Shasha Land. That wallpaper has to go.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-62774108605937942892011-10-10T12:47:00.000-07:002011-10-11T14:01:53.115-07:00

TreeForest Before After

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-69845648986009946562011-10-09T23:33:00.000-07:002011-10-10T00:22:14.060-07:00

As you all know by now, this place will become my personal, general blog and will be open to public again. I may (or may not) post some random market thought as well, but not likely include regular SD signals or position update. Even if I do, it will be likely several days or week delay to post any market direction related posting. Feel free to stop by, but do not expect anything fancy here. I

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-47364546859133376192011-10-05T17:24:00.000-07:002011-10-05T17:27:50.026-07:00

Other than my dad, nobody has been better mentor in my life. This is real shocker, huge loss to modern age. Only few can think and fight against traditional system, and he is definitely one of them, far ahead. I have been watching this clip so many times, almost memorized word by word.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-13275995293960836642011-10-05T16:03:00.000-07:002011-10-05T16:10:10.694-07:00

(This is repost of yesterday's, which is deleted by accident. Sorry for losing all the comments) MD was back  http://uidezine.blogspot.com/2011/09/md-is-back.html MD is now retired I just want to post this for the record.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-23030826382987419292011-09-26T22:45:00.000-07:002011-09-26T22:52:20.820-07:00

I see the bullishness in the bottom chart, but not the top one.It's either The Dork knows something about QE3, or ...

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-89102462465178422492011-09-20T16:09:00.000-07:002011-09-20T17:04:33.882-07:00

Sometimes I think I better act advisor's role and let MD be the trader. She's simply better! No hesitation, no second thinking, no stops! :) I didn't recommend to trade all these VST moves, but she went after everything we expected. She shorted the gap down setup last Friday, bought the first gap down rally(especially I told her to sell at the close yesterday, she refused to do so. She simply

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-4383855580182277752011-09-16T10:10:00.000-07:002011-09-16T10:13:01.808-07:00

Overnight I covered all @ 1196.50. Not a loss, but that's still bad trade because it was based on anticipation. I want to be harsh on myself and still consider this as loss - have you noticed I was shorting double size? Anyway this is for the record, Short from 1198      Covered @ 1196.50 Short from 1198.25      Covered @ 1196.50 The way I see it is, even if we start pullback from here, it

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-67926435437891294352011-09-15T17:19:00.000-07:002011-09-15T17:30:48.808-07:00

To answer MrN's question, here is full story. Today I traded for the anticipation. I saw the demand dropped with certain ratio, calculated the target based on the potential ratio, and frontran SD signal. Mrn asked why I posted counter-trend trading? I expected ST sell at the moment. Yes, that's still possibility, but they pushed to the limit as I showed you in the chart. To keep this setting

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-36792443153826344182011-09-15T13:22:00.000-07:002011-09-15T13:22:04.726-07:00

Short from 1195       Covered @ 1184 (+11) Short from 1198 & 1198.25       Drowning & counting..... LT: Sell IT: Sell ST: Buy* Reading: Breakouts everywhere, and UI is suffering underwater position like sucker of the century....

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-8133046466316758992011-09-15T10:36:00.001-07:002011-09-15T10:36:04.500-07:00

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-30447926836178995812011-09-14T14:02:00.000-07:002011-09-14T15:34:06.598-07:00

Obviously Dork's trick is not similar to MM's but it fits well into bear market rally. By passing 1172 with this rate, however, 1195 -6 should be the point MM's selling resume temporarily overnight or at least before opening tomorrow. I do not know how the market(or dork) would react, but I see gap down tomorrow and deep retrace, and eventual sideways/up actions this & next week. I will be

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-86410246011749103422011-09-14T02:20:00.000-07:002011-09-14T02:51:57.469-07:00

After watching carefully overnight, I made conclusion as following. I will treat 9/12 as ST buy from now on. Even if it was actually JR, unfolding price action looks very much like ST buy move even if it was manufactured by Mr Dork. That guy is in mission now(Look at the overnight volume! ), and I believe MM will support since they are in JR Buy mode anyway. I believe MM will take easier path

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-65357976036063794302011-09-13T10:45:00.000-07:002011-09-13T11:00:14.432-07:00

On Monday, we got JR, not ST Buy. Therefore, I did not trust this rally and closed long and reversed to short in AH. I told Pata this will be the beginning of new selloff last night. That being said, today's open was far from my expectation, so I covered at the open. Price action itself is unexpectedly bullish, so I do not want to argue with her. Short from 1165.50       Covered @ 1155.25 (+

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-30172881792144773762011-09-13T01:49:00.000-07:002011-09-13T02:13:17.166-07:00

Nobody, I mean nobody, was bearish as of close today. Amazing. Currently it's bouncing back from the TL as one can expect, but I don't think it will do anything other than hugging some time until open. I am too tired to go over details now. Long from 1126.25      Sold 100% @ 1165.00 (+38.75) Short from 1165.50      Holding 100% LT: Down IT: Down ST: Down

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-5369040101920998542011-09-10T12:39:00.000-07:002011-09-11T02:03:48.145-07:00

In terms of SD, time ratio finally caught up with volume ratio achieved on 9/6 at around 3pm on 9/9. This set up possible ST buy on the following session. This is further confirmed by "not" hitting the sucker TL shown below - "smart" bears couldn't cover & "smart" bulls couldn't go long in RH. Here are my current position. [Current Position] Short from ESZ 1197.25 Covered 100% 1141.50 (

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-26040118398775426552011-09-08T14:59:00.000-07:002011-09-09T09:03:57.693-07:00

I am pretty sure I go straight to the bed tonight, so I will post now. I am supposed to be on vacation, but there has been some pressure from Nam these days. I will try to give you daily update until you guys feel comfortable. As I said last night, I expect this is ST down trend. Here is current signal and position update. [Current Signal] LT: Down IT: Down ST: Down (since 8/30 - my

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-26986021517418561052011-09-07T23:57:00.000-07:002011-09-08T00:53:43.523-07:00

I came home late, very tired, AND had to catch up with MLMT rumor. But Nam's "friendly" request includes something like "UI hiding just like other guru" hehe. So here we go (I am very tired now, so let's skip charts) The burning question is... is ST up or down? It depends on how we interprete SD. [8/22]      ST Buy [8/30]      ST Sell [8/31]*                    Invalidation +      JR Sell

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-40025466828072210382011-09-06T13:34:00.000-07:002011-09-06T13:54:57.688-07:00

[Current Position] VST Position Long from 1136      Sold @ 1166 (+30) Today I took VST long intraday (See the chart), as I hinted last night. I. however, didn't reverse to long. ES may seem a few pts more up possible in sucker hours, while SPX shows this is possible VST top. To setup more severe decline, this puppy can go up to 117x, but that's not my main interest. No change with ST position.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-25568808950023737132011-09-05T22:10:00.000-07:002011-09-05T22:11:26.652-07:00

[Current Signals] LT: Sell IT: Sell ST: Sell [Current Position] Short from 1201.00      Sold 25% @ 1169.50 (+31.50)      Sold 25% @ 1136.00 (+65.00)      Holding 50% It's no secret that 1133 is the critical line. Therefore there is some chance I may reverse tomorrow.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-66042331233830328712011-09-04T19:23:00.000-07:002011-09-05T04:06:09.931-07:00

This is my view after looking into more data over the weekend. I will repost after investigating one more important data [Current Signals] LT: SellIT: SellST: Sell [Current Position]Short from 1201.00     Sold 25% @ 1169.50 (+31.50)     Holding 75% [Previous Position]Short from 1213.00     Stopped out @ 1218.50 (-5.50)Short from 1218.50     Stopped out @ 1218.50 (0) PS) Admins will work on the

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-77774690174175176102011-09-02T11:31:00.001-07:002011-09-02T11:50:16.888-07:00

Every level I am watching doesn't pop up JR. Now I am thinking did they really stop me out at the top? I really have bad taste in my mouth. Anyway, at least one thing I did right was overnight short @ 1201, still holding. I don't like this position at all, because it was in the middle of nowhere. I am well aware of this puppy can retest 1193 or even 1213 level, but if they close under 1180-1 -

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-67474200581886294242011-09-01T22:45:00.000-07:002011-09-02T00:35:33.877-07:00

We had JR Sell this morning. It is not common JR right after ST. I was not expecting it at all, so I missed the moment. Bad luck continues after the loss. Oh well. I need the bug off my back. Let's see what we know so far. 1. ST invalidation + Daily breakout = The eventual destination is higher 2. Intra day JR Sell and lack of counter JR Buy opened a possibility of deeper pullback. AH already

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-56257287473435585562011-08-31T17:37:00.000-07:002011-08-31T17:43:48.498-07:00

Yes officially I am lost. MM does reverse once in a while, but MM's additional buying last night after their preparing so much supply doesn't make sense to me. Especially their fancy move yesterday. Two fancy moves in a row to shake out bears? I don't think so. MM passed the 8/5 ST bottom after initial buying, and they set the bottom on 8/9 soon after. So I think MM did today's dance for

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-39910746943826466802011-08-31T10:12:00.000-07:002011-08-31T10:38:53.756-07:00

Obviously today was a surprise even if it was possibility. I got stopped out (1218.50) and took the first loss of the year (-5.50, 0). - Gap up with this setup was crazy, but it happened - bullish - Check the daily chart. Unless we close below the TL, it's bullish - Looks like this is echo of the previous ST SD invalidation Again, close today is very important for coming days, but bulls have

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-83022469554211580312011-08-30T15:59:00.000-07:002011-08-30T21:38:28.584-07:00

As daily chart suggested, we got the ST top today, and that's good start. Due to the FED moment and 200 MA fans, MM even did the optional fancy move, that's why we got 1218.75 and that's why I didn't set stop today. More screwed bulls and bears mean the party is waiting for true bears. Anyway, I ended up with bigger position than I anticipated, one from 1213 and the other from 1218.50. I guess MM

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-80739812407805974602011-08-30T10:18:00.000-07:002011-08-30T11:12:09.219-07:00

SD issued ST Sell at around SPX 1214. This is the daily chart I mentioned last night. As a result, I sold all my long and reversed to short @ ES 1213.Due to the FED, I do not have hard stop at the moment.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-50839439106820352542011-08-26T17:56:00.000-07:002011-08-26T22:36:39.965-07:00

(Disclaimer: This is just an emergency update. My precious vacation is far from over) Coming into today, I was short from Thursday morning, where we had JR Sell. I was planning to reverse at around 1147-46, expecting JR Buy around there. Surprisingly, it sold off all the way down to 1133 before JR popped up. Now that was a game changer. As you can see from the chart, JR Buy at 1133 carries

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-80955522695173854302011-08-26T08:37:00.000-07:002011-08-26T13:25:56.996-07:00

Everybody thinks today is important, which I agree, but may be not same as what you think. The fun is these guys pass around multiple JRs, even ES topping pattern, but not SD ST itself. Currently it hit 1171, where a TL crosses, and declines. I don't believe that was the top, but bears still have a chance above. However, with all free rider bulls shaken out, bullish case reamins strong. 

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-10646730382141868392011-08-24T19:08:00.000-07:002011-08-24T19:11:05.086-07:00

[Facts] - LT Down - IT Down - ST Up [Speculation] - Can this be IT reversal?  - If so, Yuri is not dead indeed. - If not, can this ST go much further? [Observation] - What's bullish?  Selling dried up as of last Friday. The recent SD buy was at higher low than the previous one. If SD sell does not happen below 1209, it's officially bullish Almost all oscillators are screaming divergency

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-6591931793104923962011-08-24T14:22:00.000-07:002011-08-24T15:02:53.328-07:00

Have we got ST Sell? No, at least not today. I guess they need to delay for Friday speech maybe? Remember the bigger context, however - LT/IT. The real bus doesn't give you that many chances. Today looked like they want to stop and invite every free rider. :) -------------------- 8-24-2011 Daily Charts (Eris) 8-24-2011 daily SPX chart 8-24-2011 daily NASDAQ chart 8-24-2011 daily DOW chart (

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-43112979557208896392011-08-10T18:31:00.000-07:002011-08-11T13:58:32.799-07:00

Today might be a surprise to you, but it's well defined one of the variation. Opening clearly said selloff for late bulls, Intraday sucker TL rally to suck in more bulls, moving average bulls got screwed by the final doom. Tick by tick all in the script. That's why I urge to trade right. No matter what they do, if you do position management and have a stop in place, there is nothing they can do

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-76386288882985528952011-08-10T02:20:00.000-07:002011-08-10T08:12:02.671-07:00

No question I had one of the most profitable day yesterday. We all deserve this. Congrats to us. I will retake my lost vacation, but I think I better mention this before I go. After close, I closed my position more aggressively this time due to the following reasons (I am holding only 25% position at the moment): 1. I collected almost 155 pts (AH+RH), and that is more than enough for one full

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-43521049835982363912011-08-08T21:57:00.000-07:002011-08-09T02:17:18.309-07:00

[Facts Revisited] 1. This particular pattern has never failed last 10 years. 2. This particular pattern has never been retested in RH. [Open mind warning]  AH retest [Failure Confirmation] "This particular pattern has never been retested in RH" [Another warning] "She didn't look happy when I open the door this morning. She never look that way last 10 years." [Yet another warning] "10 yrs

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-41649187950962501712011-08-07T17:25:00.000-07:002011-08-08T01:42:11.428-07:00

The Guru asked, "Are you shook up?""But the market is oversold.", the Evil replied.The Guru threatened the Evil, "Then I will do it again before the dawn!""But the market is oversold.", the Evil replied."Go to hell", the Guru yelled at him."I live there.", the Evil replied calmly. ------------------ What happened last Friday As you witnessed, MM played the script perfectly last Friday. They

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-50929777829382428882011-08-05T08:58:00.000-07:002011-08-05T09:11:30.735-07:00

Let the Spanish dance begin

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-81088251410867312112011-08-02T15:45:00.000-07:002011-08-02T17:45:05.457-07:00

It's official LT/IT/ST down trend as of today. We knew about this, and it's exactly the original roadmap suggested, but we were expecting ST bounce from 1283, which actually produced 20 pts rally but failed without ST sell. That was surprise, but not unexpected due to the LT context. Things like this happen once in a while. Looking back, now I know "why" and "what it meant", so I picked up a new

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-8517849553624731192011-08-01T21:29:00.000-07:002011-08-01T21:45:07.016-07:00

This is one more emergency posting due to the unexpected breakdown today. I have searched through my database, but I couldn't find any pattern like today. I am not just talking about gap and crap. SD buy while IT is up - gap up - breakdown? 7/12 setup was similar, but the ratio and underlying pattern is quite different. Never happened even in 2000-2203 & 2007-2009 bear market. Let's face the

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-47018395908205749832011-07-30T22:19:00.000-07:002011-07-31T02:31:49.387-07:00

[SD Roadmap] Nothing changed. As you all know, we are in LT: Sell (as of 4/30) IT: Buy (as of 6/16) Are we still in IT Buy? YES Then why UI posted the doom chart last week? Because the bigger context is Sell. As I explained before, I went short even if they were counter trading. At some point, I expect IT buy and/or ST buy will be invalidated to confirm LT context. So should we ignore buy

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-15413949817720515232011-07-29T22:50:00.000-07:002011-07-30T01:44:58.759-07:00

I always prepare a few scenarios based on the patterns unfold. They test and adjust, so why shouldn't we. They are not necessarily smarter than us, but it's their game - so we need to adjust & react. I discussed with Pata today about more bullish scenarios I have been thinking about since 7/21. Scenarios are not predictions. In fact, they help you stay away from predictions and bias. Of course I

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-78250296529789827272011-07-23T13:26:00.000-07:002011-07-24T18:31:22.298-07:00

So I added your favorite 200 MA. Traditional TA, it is just another way how MM set you up. Not always, but whenever many people believe in it. Open your eyes and try to see it without your oscillators. I don't use them, and my communication with MM is just fine without oscillators. It's all in the price - what to look for, what scenario tells you are wrong, when to reverse, and much more! Of

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-22924288567480441552011-07-14T09:35:00.000-07:002011-07-14T10:11:03.293-07:00

Long from 1297.25- Sold 25% @ 1326.50- Sold 25% @ 1322- Stopped out 50% @ 1310.50 Long 25% from 1303.75- Sold @ 1322

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-44247143211482362822011-07-13T15:46:00.000-07:002011-07-13T18:05:47.980-07:00

Today's opening gap level definitely predicted weakness into close. I was well aware of the move and I did usual 25% profit taking when I made comment intraday today. So the move to 1312-1310 was as usual, nothing surprising. I was even curious to see how you guys would handle the situation. The plunge beyond that, however, was never on the script, the significance is the fact it hits 1307, and

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-32862926906602863972011-07-11T22:11:00.000-07:002011-07-11T22:33:07.949-07:00

Short 1354 -  Covered 25% @ 1312.75 (+41.25) -  Covered 75% @ 1307 (+47) Just to wrap up this trade. No more update. GL.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-10471721319758534802011-07-10T13:03:00.000-07:002011-07-11T13:45:12.562-07:00

- ST bottom on 5/25 - ST top on 5/31 - ST/IT momentum bottom on 6/16, just before it happens intraday - ST top on 6/22 - IT actual bottom reversal 6/27. - ST reversal on 7/8 just before it happens, 1am in the morning! I have zero tolerance on trolls.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-99505228873284052011-07-07T19:00:00.000-07:002011-07-07T21:37:28.423-07:00

As I said, it's not over yet, but something is over. Easy money is. (Don't get the wrong message, it *just* broke out, BTW) Sure, it's easy and nice ride, but have you learned anything during this run? Do you know why easy money is not likely from now on? Because there are someone else other than MM in the bus. A few other things to think about. 1. I said we would start this week with gap down.

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-24282042848724227062011-07-07T10:23:00.000-07:002011-07-07T10:23:44.637-07:00

Long @ 1262    - sold 25% @ 1279.50    (+17.50)    - sold 50% @ 1335.75 (+73.75)- sold 25% @ 1350.50 (+88.50)

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-73558536844817229692011-07-01T15:07:00.000-07:002011-07-03T01:44:41.797-07:00

Poppy in Shasha LandSome of you may remember Shasha's little brother (Poppy is his new name) who once was fighting for his life. He is now very healthy and even faster & bigger than Shasha.   Long @ 1262    - sold 25% @ 1279.50    (+17.50)    - sold 50% @ 1335.75 (+73.75)    - holding 25%Expecting gap down next week - from Shasha Land

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-9215486720605707762011-06-27T14:52:00.000-07:002011-06-28T22:53:53.681-07:00

Since I believe this is important(and I may feel guilty if I don't update this), I will leave one more LAST update Short @ 1293 - 1293.25     - covered 25% @ 1275    (+18, from 1293)     - covered 25% @ 1259.25 (+34, from 1293.25)     - covered 25% @ 1262   (+31, from 1293)     - covered 25% @ 1262   (+31.25, from 1293.25) Short 25% @ 1285.25          - covered 25% @ 1262    (+23.25, from

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3824967586168110691.post-54039829774940876492011-06-26T11:35:00.000-07:002011-06-26T15:51:58.061-07:00

To satisfy my little bother, Nam's request, here is brief summary of LT/IT/ST view before going back to my cave. [ LT - Down ] As I said, LT SD Sell triggered at the last week's close of April, 2011. The retest will come, but it could be higher high or lower high. It all depends on MM and how crazy elephants and retails are. IT & ST SD will guide me along the way. If you insist, my guess ia

UI Dezinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10174436194067346678noreply@blogger.com